What is the likelihood of two major earthquakes occurring during a forecast period?
Probability of M7.1 within 1 day of target date is (p) .0694
Probability of M6.1 on exact target date is (p).388
The method of determining the probability of both Quakes occurring during the forecast period is to multiply the (p) of each: .0694 x .388 = (p) .027.
That would be 3 chances out of 100 of getting it right
Follows are various documentation of this forecast and results
Text of December 8th forecast: Here is a shot at an EQ prediction: I see some conditions on December 12th +/- 6hrs EST that are ripe for another significant Quake, M6.4+ . I have documented the time and date by an email to myself.