Earthquake Experiment Update 11/14

11/14/18 update
Updating the Results for the November Earthquake Forecast
The astrological model I am experimenting with seems to be holding up quite well, though it is very early and still a small sample. Nonetheless, there is a 15-day period that can be examined and the probabilities (p) of the results can be measured.
A real test will be the 12th/13th forecast, when the model shows maximum stress.
11/14 update: The 12th & 13th forecast did not materialize at all, quite the opposite in fact. Daily EQ activity dropped from an average of 40 to 50 total EQ’s per day to 20 – 25 on the 12th & 13th. Worth noting that.

Forecast Posted 10/29, to begin 10/30:

4 hits (eq’s) out of 6 trials (days) @ (f) .366 = (p).108 or about 11 chance out of 100

8 hits (no-eq) out of 9 trials (days) @ (f).634 = (p).086 or about 9 chance out of 100

combined (joint occurrence) 12 hits in 15 days = .108 x .086 = .009 of about 9 chances out of 1,000.

 

Despite the 3 misses on the 11th, 12th & 13th, this forecast model remains strong with a binomial probability of 9 chances out of 1,000 and a good correlation ratio of 60%.

Please observe how closely the red lines (earthquakes) and blue lines (astro-forecast) intersect and follow each other.

As a comparison, a control group of 12 dates was randomly generated and graphed.

1 hits (eq’s) out of 6 trials (days) @ (f) .366 = (p).225 or about 23 chance out of 100
5 hits (no-eq) out of 9 trials (days) @ (f).634 = (p).232 or about 23 chance out of 100
combined (joint occurrence) 6 hits in 15 days = .225 x .232 = .052 of about 5 chances out of 100.

Please observe that the red lines (earthquakes) and blue lines (random-forecast) barely intersect and don’t follow each other for a negative correlation of -.29

9-12 Peak Day

working on a summary of the 2018 Hurricane Forecast

Here are some rough draft results display

Original forecast, 8/8/18 on my Facebook page:

Two time frames of peak storm activity are indicated, the first in August actually occurred in the very active East Pacific Basin, between Mexico and Hawaii. I’ll have data on that later, but for now this deals with the second time period in September:

 

Three Major Hurricanes in Atlantic at same time

Forecast Florence

Few phenomena offer astrologers as clear a look at the physical results of actuated astrological factors as that of severe weather events, especially the most powerful weather events on planet Earth: Tropical Cyclones.

A benefit of our modern society is that we have tools that previous generations of astrologers did not have. Chief among them are our system of satellites that monitor our planet in the minutest detail and virtually in real time.

It has been my observation that tropical storms display characteristics similar to the planetary factors responsible for the storm. For example, if a hurricane was developing under the influence of a Mars / Mercury aspect, one could expect a sudden, brief, intense but somewhat small cyclone.

However, in the present case we have Hurricane Florence poised to intensify, first under a Sun/Jupiter/Pluto aspect, then Venus/Uranus/Saturn and finally Mercury/Neptune over the course of 9/10-9/14.

The presence of the Sun/Jupiter/Neptune in this configuration will result in a storm of exceptionally large size, the influence of Uranus will be to surprise everyone as to how rapidly a large storm, and the influence of Pluto is in the extreme power and intensity of this storm.

In other words, by 9/12, I expect to see a Huge Cat 5 Hurricane, with a large well defined ‘eye’, that catches everyone by surprise and causes some panic.

Atlantic Basin Wakes Up

In my initial forecast I described the 8/12 to 8/26 time frame of the Jupiter/Neptune trine as when the Atlantic should wake up, which it didn’t, and the East Pacific instead continued its excessive activity.

The second time frame I gave was 9/4 thru 9/22, when Jupiter in Scorpio will be sextile to Pluto in Capricorn against a background influence of a nearly complete trine of Saturn in Capricorn and Uranus in Taurus.

Just yesterday and today Tropical storm Gordon made a messy landfall, Tropical Storm Florence rapidly intensified into a category 4 hurricane, and formed a well-defined ‘eye’, (see pic) under the additional influence of a quickly peaking Leo Mercury inconjunct Capricorn Mars today, 9/5. Rolling of the coast of Africa right now are two more disturbances likely to form into tropical cyclones.

It should be noted that all of the initial NHC forecasts from 8/31 including up to yesterday, 9/4, had Florence as a maximum 60kt tropical storm.

Have a look at the time series distribution of planetary aspects coming up, or rather peaking, first on 9/7-8 then again on 9/10-13. Looks like at least one more major hurricane, probably multiples occurring simultaneously.

Heads up, seat belts on, bumpy road just ahead……..

 

5/18/18 Severe Weather Forecast

Beginning on May 18th, Jupiter in Scorpio joins Neptune in Pisces for a two week long Partile. This I believe will result in severe flooding events in various places, but probably the West Coast USA should see the brunt of it.

UPDATE MAY 27TH
SEVERE FLOODING IN MY HOMETOWN OF BALTIMORE, AND, VERY SADLY, ELLICOTT CITY HAS BEEN WIPED OUT FOR THE SECOND TIME IN LESS THAN TWO YEARS. THE JUPITER / NEPTUNE PATTERN DESCRIBED ABOVE WAS 0*:17′:00″, AT MAXIMUM INTENSITY IN SCORPIO AND PISCES. SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL TODAY, MEMORIAL DAY. I EXPECT MORE SEVERE FLOODING WILL BE IN THE NEWS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, 5/28-6/2

General Outlook:
Mars is due to enter Aquarius in mid May and will dwell there until mid August, retrograde into Capricorn for a month, then back to Aquarius again until mid-November.
Mars in Aquarius will be an available source of COLD DRY AIR, which is an essential ingredient of Thunderstorms and Tornadoes. So look for a higher than average pattern of severe storms this late spring and early summer

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